Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 1221.687744 1379.390561 1551.967743 1755.205002 1988.465907 2248.348762 2560.570257
2025-12-28 1002.761752 1221.548287 1481.973255 1816.453247 2236.993501 2751.266848 3432.459032
2026-01-04 867.873614 1112.813627 1421.514539 1842.455284 2406.605521 3143.752240 4191.646788
2026-01-11 767.901429 1025.617962 1365.621315 1852.264095 2539.470202 3488.048008 4918.901862
2026-01-18 690.605616 954.866712 1317.366422 1858.301060 2657.658810 3815.444000 5656.255169
2026-01-25 641.001459 914.384888 1302.876184 1905.096075 2833.009237 4238.437543 6586.167094
2026-02-01 596.733964 875.406977 1284.205341 1940.173345 2990.267820 4647.637123 7546.490171
2026-02-08 555.542198 835.907487 1259.242546 1960.346862 3122.911774 5029.320466 8510.528781
2026-02-15 520.394580 801.630771 1237.834961 1981.921351 3257.326289 5425.975743 9552.545597
2026-02-22 493.405269 777.206225 1228.794391 2021.259995 3423.702636 5893.798190 10787.387862
2026-03-01 452.196392 725.938567 1171.126978 1971.569963 3427.704287 6071.890360 11498.352629
2026-03-08 414.881002 677.838664 1114.235630 1916.850927 3415.141831 6215.340016 12157.556896
2026-03-15 378.572228 629.114903 1053.149921 1850.425974 3376.844818 6311.556757 12749.117167
2026-03-22 366.982181 621.989243 1063.542279 1915.433870 3595.552961 6935.660820 14557.288574
2026-03-29 350.654381 605.031196 1054.728881 1943.016268 3743.354742 7434.879401 16173.703200
2026-04-05 333.341560 584.814406 1038.078460 1953.422246 3856.929066 7876.164272 17730.707368
2026-04-12 317.010599 565.046146 1020.457788 1959.826918 3962.270918 8312.173351 19348.757263
2026-04-19 307.429194 557.043822 1024.245639 2009.476827 4164.936690 8989.531980 21683.563437
2026-04-26 296.995084 546.558787 1022.246184 2046.699434 4344.313908 9637.274038 24062.477920
2026-05-03 285.509121 533.136181 1013.285831 2068.108805 4490.246611 10225.429231 26393.397387
2026-05-10 274.986067 520.801807 1005.445237 2091.006598 4642.007357 10848.067765 28940.546816
2026-05-17 267.041750 513.011149 1006.177132 2132.762409 4843.156966 11622.098192 32079.519053
2026-05-24 250.601978 486.818108 966.703401 2080.020082 4808.646954 11784.608905 33424.864762